DATA DEEP DIVE: How a lot better might Leclerc have fared in Canada if not for a brace of obstacles?

Charles Leclerc’s good drive from the again row to P5 in Montreal not solely gained him helpful factors, however the Driver of the Day award too. However might he have completed even larger? We have a look at the pair of essential challenges that value Leclerc in Canada and attempt to estimate how a lot better he would have fared with out them.

After Leclerc’s energy unit failure in Azerbaijan, the championship contender was given a number of recent energy unit parts together with management electronics, MGU-H and MGU-Okay, turbocharger and an exhaust. He basically sat out Q2 on Saturday, placing him nineteenth on the grid alongside penalised AlphaTauri driver Yuki Tsunoda.

Beginning on laborious tyres, the Monegasque racer rose to P13 by Lap 10 courtesy of passes on the likes of Pierre Gasly and Lance Stroll. Leclerc selected to forgo a cease throughout the Lap 9-10 Digital Security Automotive interval, making it as much as P6 earlier than pitting on Lap 41 – having hovered behind the Alpine of Esteban Ocon for 20 laps.

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The mid-race scrap with Ocon

Alpine’s Ocon proved to be the primary impediment to Leclerc’s restoration drive.

Leclerc acquired near passing the Frenchman on Lap 25, however regardless of the tow and DRS he simply couldn’t go Ocon.

Our race hint (under) explains why Leclerc couldn’t make what would have been an important go; the Ferrari driver ended up shedding practically 10 seconds to the automotive forward of Ocon – George Russell’s Mercedes – whereas caught proper behind the Alpine from Lap 25 onwards.

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Focusing solely on the velocity of each Leclerc (crimson line) and Ocon (blue line), it’s clear that Leclerc was shedding tempo by the corners. He suffered understeer all through the apexes, after which tried to compensate for that by getting on the throttle earlier.

By getting on the throttle earlier, Leclerc confronted oversteer at nook exit – leaving him too far behind Ocon to utilise the Ferrari’s high velocity benefit on Canada’s comparatively brief straights.

Lap 25: Leclerc suffered understeer (1) and acquired on the throttle earlier to right that (2), resulting in oversteer at nook exit

The Lap 41 pit cease

Caught behind Ocon for over 15 laps, Leclerc determined to pit on the finish of his forty first lap, swapping his laborious compounds for mediums. That pit cease proved pricey.

Coming into the pit lane sixth, Leclerc emerged twelfth, having spent 5.31 seconds stationary, his automotive being dropped off the jacks with the rear-left tyre nonetheless to be correctly fitted. The Ferrari driver then discovered himself battling behind a prepare of automobiles from P8 to P11: Lance Stroll, Zhou Guanyu, Tsunoda and Daniel Ricciardo.

Certainly, had Leclerc had a quicker cease, even the identical 3.17s cease that crew mate Carlos Sainz had loved 20 laps prior, then he would have emerged forward of the prepare of automobiles and had the tempo to problem Valtteri Bottas for P7 nicely earlier than the Security Automotive on Lap 49.

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Had Leclerc not been caught behind that prepare of automobiles, he wouldn’t solely have had the tempo to go Bottas, however would have made up time to the Alpines of Ocon and Fernando Alonso forward. As a substitute, the Alpines loved a free cease below the Security Automotive on Lap 49, placing them each on newer tyres and making them a a lot sterner problem for Leclerc.

The Ferrari driver handed Alonso on Lap 58 – 4 laps after the race had resumed – and took P5 off Ocon on Lap 60. However by then, George Russell was virtually 4 seconds forward and the Briton ended up fourth by the chequered flag.

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It’s cheap to imagine that Leclerc would have been capable of problem the Mercedes driver with a faster cease on Lap 41 – however difficult Lewis Hamilton’s podium spot might need proved a stretch.

Nevertheless, had Leclerc not misplaced 10 seconds to Russell in his mid-race battle with Ocon, that chase for the rostrum would have grow to be a lot simpler – and P3 would have been a practical goal on Sunday.

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